Dispersing the Crowd: A Natural Experiment of the Effects of Concentrated Prisoner Reentry
نویسنده
چکیده
More than 700,000 prisoners are released from incarceration each year in the United States, and most end up residing in urban areas, clustered within a select few neighborhoods. The massive rise in the number of returning prisoners combined with the geographic concentration of these ex-prisoners means that select urban neighborhoods have become inundated with individuals who have served time in prison. Likely consequences of this concentration of prisoner reentry include higher rates of crime and incarceration, as well as recidivism. In fact, more than one-half of released prisoners return to prison within only 3 years of release. The routine exposure to criminogenic influences and criminal opportunities portends a bleak future for individuals who reside in neighborhoods with numerous other ex-prisoners. By investigating national patterns of prisoner reentry as well as a natural experiment focused on post–Hurricane Katrina Louisiana, I examine a counterfactual scenario: if instead of concentrating ex-prisoners in geographic space, what would happen to recidivism and incarceration rates if ex-prisoners were dispersed across space? My findings reveal that an increase in the concentration of parolees in a neighborhood leads to a significant increase in the rate of admission to prison for neighborhood residents generally and in the re-incarceration rate for former prisoners specifically. To reduce these collateral consequences of concentrated prisoner reentry, an alternative policy should be considered, one that disperses the parolee population instead of concentrating it into select neighborhoods.
منابع مشابه
Forthcoming, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol 112 A Natural Experiment of the Consequences of Concentrating Former Prisoners in the Same Neighborhoods
More than 600,000 prisoners are released from incarceration each year in the United States, and most end up residing in metropolitan areas, clustered within a select few neighborhoods. Likely consequences of this concentration of returning prisoners include higher rates of subsequent crime and recidivism. In fact, one-half of released prisoners return to prison within only 3 years of release. T...
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